Party Democratic Republican Senate Majority Probability 24% 76% Average Outcome 48.2 51.8 Median Outcome 48 52 Most Common Outcome 48 52 Democratic 95th Percentile Outcome 52 48 Democratic 75th Percentile…
Rankings include all division 1 games through March 13th. Team Ranking Expected WP% vs. Average Opponent Change From Last Week Gonzaga 1 94.0% 0 Houston 2 92.7% 0 Arizona 3…
With one half of MLB’s regular season in the books, we have a good sample size of games to evaluate the strength of the various teams so far. While many…
While I was unfortunately not able to post my original March Madness projections to Nothing But Numbers in time for the tournament, my model correctly forecast several upsets that other…
Joe Biden enters election day as a heavy favorite to win the election, winning the election 94% of the time with an average of 336 electoral votes in my latest…
If you’ve been following the coronavirus outbreak in the US, you have likely heard that case numbers in the United States are reaching record highs. This is true: the US…
With the 2020 Presidential Election less than four months away, Joe Biden is well positioned to defeat Donald Trump in the November election, with my model giving Biden a 90%…
There has been a lot of debate on how exactly Donald Trump was able to defy the pundits and win the electoral college in 2016. Pre-election polls had shown Clinton…
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Our 2018 Senate forecast shows the Democrats having a better night than many other competing forecasts, with Democrats having a…
Our 2018 House forecast shows a better night for Democrats than many other competing forecasts, with Democrats having a roughly 9 in 10 chance of winning the House and picking…
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