Candidate Trump Harris Chance of Winning Election 68% 32% Average Electoral Votes 282 256 Median Electoral Votes 287 251 Mode Electoral Votes 312 226 National Popular Vote 49.0% 50.0% Chance…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/24/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Below are my projections for the upcoming NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. The percentages indicate the likelihood that each team advances to the given round. My model is based on my…
Data includes all division 1 games through Wednesday, 3/20/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/17/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location, opponent, and date of the games are all incorporated…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/3/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 2/25/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 12/10/23. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Team Expected WP% vs Avg Opponent Seed Region Round of 32% Sweet 16% Elite 8% Final Four% Champ Game% Winner% Houston 0.946 1 Midwest 94.6% 67.2% 53.0% 36.4% 25.1% 17.6%…
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