Our 2018 House forecast shows a better night for Democrats than many other competing forecasts, with Democrats having a roughly 9 in 10 chance of winning the House and picking up 45 seats from the Republicans on average.
Unfortunately, due to a heavy course-load, I won’t be able to publish the methodology of my model until after election day. But the full results of the model are still posted below. Happy election day!
Overall US House Forecast
| Category | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|
| Win House? | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| Category | Dem Seats | Rep Seats | Seat Gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 239.7 | 195.3 | 44.7 |
| Median | 239 | 196 | 44 |
| Mode | 240 | 195 | 45 |
| Max | 313 | 122 | 118 |
| Min | 189 | 246 | -6 |
| 95th Percentile | 268 | 167 | 73 |
| 75th Percentile | 250 | 185 | 55 |
| 25th Perecentile | 228 | 207 | 33 |
| 5th Percentile | 214 | 221 | 19 |
Individual Seat Predictions
| CD | Party | Incumbent | 2018 Dem Vote% | 2018 Rep Vote% | Dem Win% | Rep Win% | Seat Flip% | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA-05 | (R) | 66.6% | 33.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | SAFE D | |
| FL-27 | (R) | 59.5% | 40.5% | 97.4% | 2.6% | 97.4% | SAFE D | |
| PA-14 | (D) | 41.9% | 58.1% | 4.5% | 95.5% | 95.5% | SAFE R | |
| PA-06 | (R) | 57.0% | 43.0% | 94.5% | 5.5% | 94.5% | SOLID D | |
| PA-07 | (R) | 55.4% | 44.6% | 89.8% | 10.2% | 89.8% | SOLID D | |
| WA-08 | (R) | 54.5% | 45.5% | 86.6% | 13.4% | 86.6% | SOLID D | |
| CA-39 | (R) | 54.9% | 45.1% | 84.7% | 15.3% | 84.7% | LIKELY D | |
| AZ-02 | (R) | 54.2% | 45.8% | 83.0% | 17.0% | 83.0% | LIKELY D | |
| CO-06 | (R) | Coffman, Mike | 54.6% | 45.4% | 82.9% | 17.1% | 82.9% | LIKELY D |
| IA-01 | (R) | Blum, Rod | 54.4% | 45.6% | 82.6% | 17.4% | 82.6% | LIKELY D |
| CA-49 | (R) | 54.3% | 45.7% | 80.9% | 19.1% | 80.9% | LIKELY D | |
| VA-10 | (R) | Comstock, Barbara | 54.1% | 45.9% | 80.9% | 19.1% | 80.9% | LIKELY D |
| TX-23 | (R) | Hurd, Will | 53.8% | 46.2% | 80.4% | 19.6% | 80.4% | LIKELY D |
| CA-10 | (R) | Denham, Jeff | 53.5% | 46.5% | 79.8% | 20.3% | 79.8% | LIKELY D |
| CA-25 | (R) | Knight, Steve | 53.4% | 46.6% | 77.3% | 22.7% | 77.3% | LIKELY D |
| NJ-02 | (R) | 53.5% | 46.5% | 76.2% | 23.8% | 76.2% | LIKELY D | |
| MN-02 | (R) | Lewis, Jason | 53.2% | 46.8% | 76.1% | 23.9% | 76.1% | LIKELY D |
| PA-01 | (R) | Fitzpatrick, Brian | 52.7% | 47.3% | 74.7% | 25.3% | 74.7% | LEAN D |
| FL-26 | (R) | Curbelo, Carlos | 53.5% | 46.5% | 73.5% | 26.5% | 73.5% | LEAN D |
| NY-19 | (R) | Faso, John | 52.5% | 47.5% | 71.5% | 28.5% | 71.5% | LEAN D |
| CA-21 | (R) | Valadao, David | 53.1% | 46.9% | 70.3% | 29.7% | 70.3% | LEAN D |
| PA-17 | (R) | Rothfus, Keith; Lamb, Connor | 51.6% | 48.4% | 66.4% | 33.6% | 66.4% | LEAN D |
| NJ-11 | (R) | 51.7% | 48.3% | 65.0% | 35.0% | 65.0% | LEAN D | |
| MN-03 | (R) | Paulsen, Erik | 51.8% | 48.2% | 64.7% | 35.3% | 64.7% | TILT D |
| ME-02 | (R) | Poliquin, Bruce | 51.8% | 48.2% | 64.6% | 35.4% | 64.6% | TILT D |
| NE-02 | (R) | Bacon, Don | 51.4% | 48.6% | 63.5% | 36.5% | 63.5% | TILT D |
| MI-11 | (R) | 51.2% | 48.8% | 62.8% | 37.2% | 62.8% | TILT D | |
| NY-24 | (R) | Katko, John | 51.3% | 48.7% | 60.0% | 40.0% | 60.0% | TILT D |
| KS-03 | (R) | Yoder, Kevin | 51.0% | 49.0% | 59.5% | 40.5% | 59.5% | TILT D |
| IL-13 | (R) | Davis, Rodney | 51.1% | 48.9% | 58.4% | 41.6% | 58.4% | TILT D |
| IL-06 | (R) | Roskam, Peter | 50.8% | 49.2% | 56.5% | 43.5% | 56.5% | TILT D |
| IA-03 | (R) | Young, David | 50.6% | 49.4% | 55.9% | 44.1% | 55.9% | TILT D |
| NY-22 | (R) | Tenney, Claudia | 50.6% | 49.4% | 55.7% | 44.3% | 55.7% | TILT D |
| TX-32 | (R) | Sessions, Pete | 50.5% | 49.5% | 54.3% | 45.7% | 54.3% | TOSS-UP |
| CA-45 | (R) | Walters, Mimi | 50.3% | 49.7% | 52.4% | 47.6% | 52.4% | TOSS-UP |
| FL-18 | (R) | Mast, Brian | 50.1% | 49.9% | 50.8% | 49.2% | 50.8% | TOSS-UP |
| MN-08 | (D) | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.5% | 49.5% | TOSS-UP | |
| GA-06 | (R) | Handel, Karen | 49.9% | 50.1% | 49.3% | 50.7% | 49.3% | TOSS-UP |
| NJ-07 | (R) | Lance, Leonard | 49.9% | 50.1% | 48.6% | 51.4% | 48.6% | TOSS-UP |
| WI-01 | (R) | 49.8% | 50.2% | 47.9% | 52.2% | 47.9% | TOSS-UP | |
| IL-12 | (R) | Bost, Mike | 49.2% | 50.8% | 43.7% | 56.3% | 43.7% | TILT R |
| NY-01 | (R) | Zeldin, Lee | 49.1% | 50.9% | 42.4% | 57.6% | 42.4% | TILT R |
| FL-15 | (R) | 49.1% | 50.9% | 42.3% | 57.7% | 42.3% | TILT R | |
| NY-23 | (R) | Reed, Tom | 49.0% | 51.0% | 41.3% | 58.7% | 41.3% | TILT R |
| CA-48 | (R) | Rohrabacher, Dana | 48.9% | 51.1% | 41.3% | 58.7% | 41.3% | TILT R |
| NC-13 | (R) | Budd, Ted | 49.0% | 51.0% | 40.8% | 59.2% | 40.8% | TILT R |
| NM-02 | (R) | 49.0% | 51.0% | 40.5% | 59.6% | 40.5% | TILT R | |
| NJ-03 | (R) | MacArthur, Tom | 48.8% | 51.2% | 40.2% | 59.8% | 40.2% | TILT R |
| PA-10 | (R) | Perry, Scott | 48.7% | 51.3% | 39.2% | 60.8% | 39.2% | TILT R |
| VA-05 | (R) | 48.7% | 51.3% | 39.0% | 61.0% | 39.0% | TILT R | |
| MI-08 | (R) | Bishop, Mike | 48.8% | 51.2% | 38.8% | 61.2% | 38.8% | TILT R |
| IL-14 | (R) | Hultgren, Randy | 48.6% | 51.4% | 38.1% | 61.9% | 38.1% | TILT R |
| OH-12 | (R) | Balderson, Troy | 48.5% | 51.5% | 36.6% | 63.4% | 36.6% | TILT R |
| CO-03 | (R) | Tipton, Scott | 48.4% | 51.6% | 36.5% | 63.5% | 36.5% | TILT R |
| MI-03 | (R) | Amash, Justin | 48.3% | 51.7% | 36.1% | 63.9% | 36.1% | TILT R |
| MI-07 | (R) | Walberg, Tim | 48.3% | 51.7% | 36.0% | 64.0% | 36.0% | TILT R |
| TX-07 | (R) | Culberson, John | 48.2% | 51.8% | 36.0% | 64.0% | 36.0% | TILT R |
| MN-07 | (D) | Peterson, Collin | 52.6% | 47.4% | 64.9% | 35.1% | 35.1% | TILT D |
| MI-06 | (R) | Upton, Fred | 48.2% | 51.8% | 34.7% | 65.3% | 34.7% | LEAN R |
| FL-16 | (R) | Buchanan, Vern | 48.0% | 52.0% | 33.1% | 66.9% | 33.1% | LEAN R |
| VA-07 | (R) | Brat, Dave | 48.0% | 52.0% | 32.9% | 67.1% | 32.9% | LEAN R |
| NY-02 | (R) | King, Peter | 47.7% | 52.3% | 32.9% | 67.1% | 32.9% | LEAN R |
| NC-02 | (R) | Holding, George | 48.0% | 52.0% | 32.4% | 67.6% | 32.4% | LEAN R |
| FL-06 | (R) | 47.7% | 52.3% | 31.7% | 68.3% | 31.7% | LEAN R | |
| NY-11 | (R) | Donovan, Dan | 47.3% | 52.7% | 29.8% | 70.3% | 29.8% | LEAN R |
| WA-03 | (R) | Herrera Beutler, Jaime | 47.4% | 52.6% | 29.4% | 70.6% | 29.4% | LEAN R |
| UT-04 | (R) | Love, Mia | 46.7% | 53.3% | 28.8% | 71.2% | 28.8% | LEAN R |
| MI-01 | (R) | Bergman, Jack | 47.2% | 52.8% | 28.7% | 71.3% | 28.7% | LEAN R |
| VA-02 | (R) | Taylor, Scott | 47.2% | 52.8% | 28.2% | 71.8% | 28.2% | LEAN R |
| OH-01 | (R) | Chabot, Steve | 47.6% | 52.4% | 28.0% | 72.0% | 28.0% | LEAN R |
| NC-09 | (R) | 47.6% | 52.4% | 27.7% | 72.3% | 27.7% | LEAN R | |
| SC-05 | (R) | Norman, Ralph | 46.9% | 53.1% | 27.2% | 72.8% | 27.2% | LEAN R |
| NC-08 | (R) | Hudson, Richard | 47.2% | 52.8% | 26.7% | 73.3% | 26.7% | LEAN R |
| WI-07 | (R) | Duffy, Sean | 46.9% | 53.1% | 26.5% | 73.5% | 26.5% | LEAN R |
| OH-16 | (R) | 47.0% | 53.0% | 25.9% | 74.1% | 25.9% | LEAN R | |
| KY-06 | (R) | Barr, Andy | 46.8% | 53.2% | 24.5% | 75.5% | 24.5% | LIKELY R |
| WI-08 | (R) | Gallagher, Mike | 46.5% | 53.5% | 23.2% | 76.8% | 23.2% | LIKELY R |
| MN-01 | (D) | Walz, Tim | 53.9% | 46.1% | 77.2% | 22.8% | 22.8% | LIKELY D |
| WI-06 | (R) | Grothman, Glenn | 46.6% | 53.4% | 22.0% | 78.0% | 22.0% | LIKELY R |
| OH-14 | (R) | Joyce, David | 46.3% | 53.7% | 21.9% | 78.1% | 21.9% | LIKELY R |
| TX-21 | (R) | 46.2% | 53.8% | 21.4% | 78.6% | 21.4% | LIKELY R | |
| TX-24 | (R) | Marchant, Kenny | 46.1% | 53.9% | 20.9% | 79.1% | 20.9% | LIKELY R |
| NV-02 | (R) | Amodei, Mark | 46.4% | 53.6% | 20.7% | 79.3% | 20.7% | LIKELY R |
| OH-10 | (R) | Turner, Michael | 45.4% | 54.6% | 20.7% | 79.3% | 20.7% | LIKELY R |
| NH-01 | (D) | 53.3% | 46.7% | 79.5% | 20.5% | 20.5% | LIKELY D | |
| WA-05 | (R) | McMorris Rodgers, Cathy | 46.6% | 53.4% | 20.5% | 79.5% | 20.5% | LIKELY R |
| MT-AL | (R) | Gianforte, Greg | 45.9% | 54.1% | 20.3% | 79.7% | 20.3% | LIKELY R |
| NC-05 | (R) | Foxx, Virginia | 46.1% | 53.9% | 19.4% | 80.6% | 19.4% | LIKELY R |
| NY-21 | (R) | Stefanik, Elise | 44.8% | 55.2% | 19.1% | 80.9% | 19.1% | LIKELY R |
| NV-03 | (D) | 53.6% | 46.4% | 81.0% | 19.0% | 19.0% | LIKELY D | |
| TX-06 | (R) | 46.2% | 53.8% | 18.8% | 81.3% | 18.8% | LIKELY R | |
| GA-07 | (R) | Woodall, Rob | 45.8% | 54.2% | 18.7% | 81.3% | 18.7% | LIKELY R |
| PA-16 | (R) | Kelly, Mike | 45.7% | 54.3% | 18.5% | 81.5% | 18.5% | LIKELY R |
| IA-04 | (R) | King, Steve | 45.3% | 54.7% | 18.4% | 81.6% | 18.4% | LIKELY R |
| NC-06 | (R) | Walker, Mark | 46.1% | 53.9% | 17.6% | 82.5% | 17.6% | LIKELY R |
| TX-10 | (R) | McCaul, Michael | 45.7% | 54.3% | 17.5% | 82.5% | 17.5% | LIKELY R |
| FL-03 | (R) | Yoho, Ted | 46.0% | 54.0% | 17.5% | 82.5% | 17.5% | LIKELY R |
| TX-02 | (R) | 44.9% | 55.1% | 17.2% | 82.8% | 17.2% | LIKELY R | |
| FL-25 | (R) | Diaz-Balart, Mario | 44.9% | 55.1% | 16.9% | 83.1% | 16.9% | LIKELY R |
| VA-01 | (R) | Wittman, Rob | 45.9% | 54.1% | 16.9% | 83.1% | 16.9% | LIKELY R |
| SC-01 | (R) | 45.8% | 54.2% | 16.7% | 83.3% | 16.7% | LIKELY R | |
| MO-02 | (R) | Wagner, Ann | 45.7% | 54.3% | 16.1% | 83.9% | 16.1% | LIKELY R |
| CA-42 | (R) | Calvert, Ken | 46.0% | 54.0% | 16.1% | 83.9% | 16.1% | LIKELY R |
| IN-09 | (R) | Hollingsworth, Trey | 44.5% | 55.5% | 15.8% | 84.2% | 15.8% | LIKELY R |
| KS-04 | (R) | Estes, Ron | 44.3% | 55.7% | 15.7% | 84.3% | 15.7% | LIKELY R |
| IN-05 | (R) | Brooks, Susan | 45.1% | 54.9% | 15.3% | 84.7% | 15.3% | LIKELY R |
| UT-02 | (R) | Stewart, Chris | 44.0% | 56.0% | 14.8% | 85.2% | 14.8% | SOLID R |
| AR-02 | (R) | Hill, French | 45.4% | 54.6% | 14.7% | 85.3% | 14.7% | SOLID R |
| TX-14 | (R) | Weber, Randy | 44.9% | 55.1% | 14.5% | 85.6% | 14.5% | SOLID R |
| CA-08 | (R) | Cook, Paul | 45.3% | 54.7% | 14.4% | 85.6% | 14.4% | SOLID R |
| CA-01 | (R) | La Malfa, Doug | 45.1% | 54.9% | 14.4% | 85.6% | 14.4% | SOLID R |
| IN-02 | (R) | Walorski, Jackie | 44.9% | 55.1% | 14.2% | 85.9% | 14.2% | SOLID R |
| NJ-05 | (D) | Gottheimer, Josh | 54.9% | 45.1% | 86.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | SOLID D |
| KS-02 | (R) | 45.3% | 54.7% | 13.6% | 86.4% | 13.6% | SOLID R | |
| WA-04 | (R) | Newhouse, Dan | 44.3% | 55.7% | 13.3% | 86.7% | 13.3% | SOLID R |
| CA-22 | (R) | Nunes, Devin | 44.1% | 55.9% | 13.2% | 86.8% | 13.2% | SOLID R |
| GA-01 | (R) | Carter, Buddy | 45.1% | 54.9% | 13.1% | 86.9% | 13.1% | SOLID R |
| NC-07 | (R) | Rouzer, David | 45.1% | 54.9% | 12.5% | 87.6% | 12.5% | SOLID R |
| SC-07 | (R) | Rice, Tom | 44.7% | 55.3% | 11.9% | 88.1% | 11.9% | SOLID R |
| TX-22 | (R) | Olson, Pete | 44.4% | 55.6% | 11.8% | 88.2% | 11.8% | SOLID R |
| TX-25 | (R) | Williams, Roger | 44.6% | 55.4% | 11.5% | 88.5% | 11.5% | SOLID R |
| OH-02 | (R) | Wenstrup, Brad | 44.1% | 55.9% | 10.9% | 89.1% | 10.9% | SOLID R |
| AK-AL | (R) | Young, Don | 44.6% | 55.4% | 10.9% | 89.2% | 10.9% | SOLID R |
| AZ-01 | (D) | O’Halleran, Tom | 55.7% | 44.3% | 89.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | SOLID D |
| OH-15 | (R) | Stivers, Steve | 43.7% | 56.3% | 10.7% | 89.3% | 10.7% | SOLID R |
| IL-16 | (R) | Kinzinger, Adam | 44.2% | 55.8% | 10.7% | 89.3% | 10.7% | SOLID R |
| OK-05 | (R) | Russell, Steve | 44.7% | 55.3% | 10.6% | 89.5% | 10.6% | SOLID R |
| GA-12 | (R) | Allen, Rick | 44.8% | 55.2% | 10.3% | 89.7% | 10.3% | SOLID R |
| CA-50 | (R) | 44.2% | 55.8% | 10.0% | 90.0% | 10.0% | SOLID R | |
| PA-08 | (D) | Cartwright, Matt | 57.0% | 43.0% | 90.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | SOLID D |
| CA-04 | (R) | McClintock, Tom | 44.4% | 55.6% | 9.9% | 90.2% | 9.9% | SOLID R |
| TX-31 | (R) | Carter, John | 44.3% | 55.7% | 9.7% | 90.3% | 9.7% | SOLID R |
| AZ-06 | (R) | Schweikert, David | 44.1% | 55.9% | 9.6% | 90.4% | 9.6% | SOLID R |
| MI-04 | (R) | Moolenaar, John | 43.6% | 56.4% | 9.2% | 90.8% | 9.2% | SOLID R |
| TX-03 | (R) | 43.2% | 56.8% | 9.0% | 91.0% | 9.0% | SOLID R | |
| NJ-04 | (R) | Smith, Chris | 43.4% | 56.6% | 8.7% | 91.3% | 8.7% | SOLID R |
| WV-02 | (R) | Mooney, Alex | 42.0% | 58.0% | 8.5% | 91.5% | 8.5% | SOLID R |
| FL-07 | (D) | Murphy, Stephanie | 55.9% | 44.1% | 91.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | SOLID D |
| IA-02 | (D) | Loebsack, David | 57.0% | 43.0% | 91.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | SOLID D |
| NY-18 | (D) | P Maloney, Sean | 57.0% | 43.0% | 92.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | SOLID D |
| MI-02 | (R) | Huizenga, Bill | 43.1% | 56.9% | 7.1% | 93.0% | 7.1% | SOLID R |
| NC-10 | (R) | McHenry, Patrick | 43.2% | 56.8% | 6.7% | 93.3% | 6.7% | SOLID R |
| FL-12 | (R) | Bilirakis, Gus | 42.2% | 57.8% | 6.6% | 93.5% | 6.6% | SOLID R |
| CT-05 | (D) | 56.4% | 43.6% | 93.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | SOLID D | |
| FL-17 | (R) | 42.5% | 57.5% | 6.2% | 93.8% | 6.2% | SOLID R | |
| FL-13 | (D) | Crist, Charlie | 56.8% | 43.2% | 94.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | SOLID D |
| AZ-08 | (R) | Lesko, Debbie | 43.6% | 56.4% | 5.9% | 94.1% | 5.9% | SOLID R |
| NH-02 | (D) | Kuster, Annie | 56.9% | 43.1% | 94.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | SOLID D |
| OH-07 | (R) | Gibbs, Bob | 41.8% | 58.2% | 5.4% | 94.6% | 5.4% | SOLID R |
| FL-08 | (R) | Posey, Bill | 42.5% | 57.5% | 4.9% | 95.1% | 4.9% | SAFE R |
| MI-10 | (R) | Mitchell, Paul | 41.6% | 58.4% | 4.8% | 95.2% | 4.8% | SAFE R |
| NV-04 | (D) | 57.1% | 42.9% | 95.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | SAFE D | |
| IL-17 | (D) | Bustos, Cheri | 59.4% | 40.6% | 95.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | SAFE D |
| NY-03 | (D) | Suozzi, Tom | 57.1% | 42.9% | 95.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | SAFE D |
| OH-05 | (R) | Latta, Bob | 41.3% | 58.7% | 4.5% | 95.5% | 4.5% | SAFE R |
| CA-07 | (D) | Bera, Ami | 57.7% | 42.3% | 95.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | SAFE D |
| PA-09 | (R) | 40.8% | 59.2% | 4.3% | 95.7% | 4.3% | SAFE R | |
| VA-06 | (R) | 42.2% | 57.8% | 4.0% | 96.0% | 4.0% | SAFE R | |
| WI-03 | (D) | Kind, Ron | 59.0% | 41.0% | 96.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | SAFE D |
| SD-AL | (R) | 41.4% | 58.6% | 4.0% | 96.0% | 4.0% | SAFE R | |
| MN-06 | (R) | Emmer, Tom | 41.9% | 58.1% | 3.9% | 96.1% | 3.9% | SAFE R |
| AZ-09 | (D) | 58.7% | 41.3% | 96.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | SAFE D | |
| NY-27 | (R) | Collins, Chris | 41.6% | 58.4% | 3.8% | 96.2% | 3.8% | SAFE R |
| CA-36 | (D) | Ruiz, Raul | 59.5% | 40.5% | 96.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | SAFE D |
| IN-08 | (R) | Bucshon, Larry | 41.1% | 58.9% | 3.6% | 96.4% | 3.6% | SAFE R |
| NC-11 | (R) | Meadows, Mark | 41.6% | 58.4% | 3.5% | 96.6% | 3.5% | SAFE R |
| OR-05 | (D) | Schrader, Kurt | 58.3% | 41.7% | 96.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | SAFE D |
| TX-17 | (R) | Flores, Bill | 42.1% | 57.9% | 3.4% | 96.7% | 3.4% | SAFE R |
| OR-04 | (D) | DeFazio, Peter | 59.7% | 40.3% | 96.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | SAFE D |
| OH-04 | (R) | Jordan, Jim | 40.6% | 59.4% | 3.0% | 97.0% | 3.0% | SAFE R |
| SC-02 | (R) | Wilson, Joe | 42.2% | 57.8% | 2.9% | 97.1% | 2.9% | SAFE R |
| MS-03 | (R) | 41.9% | 58.1% | 2.8% | 97.2% | 2.8% | SAFE R | |
| MI-09 | (D) | 58.7% | 41.3% | 97.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | SAFE D | |
| LA-04 | (R) | Johnson, Mike | 41.6% | 58.4% | 2.4% | 97.6% | 2.4% | SAFE R |
| TX-27 | (R) | 42.1% | 57.9% | 2.4% | 97.6% | 2.4% | SAFE R | |
| ND-AL | (R) | 39.1% | 60.9% | 2.3% | 97.7% | 2.3% | SAFE R | |
| NE-01 | (R) | Fortenberry, Jeff | 40.1% | 59.9% | 2.1% | 97.9% | 2.1% | SAFE R |
| NC-03 | (R) | Jones, Walter | 41.0% | 59.0% | 2.1% | 98.0% | 2.1% | SAFE R |
| AZ-05 | (R) | Biggs, Andy | 41.0% | 59.0% | 2.0% | 98.0% | 2.0% | SAFE R |
| FL-19 | (R) | Rooney, Francis | 41.0% | 59.0% | 1.9% | 98.1% | 1.9% | SAFE R |
| OR-02 | (R) | Walden, Greg | 38.9% | 61.1% | 1.8% | 98.2% | 1.8% | SAFE R |
| WI-05 | (R) | Sensenbrenner, Jim | 39.8% | 60.2% | 1.7% | 98.3% | 1.7% | SAFE R |
| OH-06 | (R) | Johnson, Bill | 38.2% | 61.8% | 1.7% | 98.3% | 1.7% | SAFE R |
| PA-11 | (R) | Smucker, Lloyd | 40.7% | 59.3% | 1.6% | 98.4% | 1.6% | SAFE R |
| FL-11 | (R) | Webster, Dan | 40.1% | 59.9% | 1.6% | 98.4% | 1.6% | SAFE R |
| IL-10 | (D) | Schneider, Brad | 62.3% | 37.7% | 98.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | SAFE D |
| CO-04 | (R) | Buck, Ken | 40.7% | 59.3% | 1.5% | 98.5% | 1.5% | SAFE R |
| IN-04 | (R) | 39.3% | 60.7% | 1.4% | 98.7% | 1.4% | SAFE R | |
| CO-05 | (R) | Lamborn, Doug | 40.1% | 59.9% | 1.1% | 98.9% | 1.1% | SAFE R |
| CA-24 | (D) | Carbajal, Salud | 60.9% | 39.1% | 98.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | SAFE D |
| IN-06 | (R) | 37.6% | 62.4% | 1.0% | 99.0% | 1.0% | SAFE R | |
| CT-02 | (D) | Courtney, Joe | 63.7% | 36.3% | 99.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-52 | (D) | Peters, Scott | 61.2% | 38.8% | 99.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | SAFE D |
| SC-04 | (R) | 40.5% | 59.5% | 0.9% | 99.1% | 0.9% | SAFE R | |
| GA-10 | (R) | Hice, Jodi | 39.7% | 60.3% | 0.9% | 99.2% | 0.9% | SAFE R |
| RI-02 | (D) | Langevin, Jim | 63.1% | 36.9% | 99.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | SAFE D |
| CA-03 | (D) | Garamendi, John | 61.0% | 39.0% | 99.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | SAFE D |
| NY-04 | (D) | Rice, Kathleen | 61.5% | 38.5% | 99.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | SAFE D |
| AR-01 | (R) | Crawford, Rick | 37.1% | 62.9% | 0.7% | 99.3% | 0.7% | SAFE R |
| MD-06 | (D) | 60.1% | 39.9% | 99.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | SAFE D | |
| ID-02 | (R) | Simpson, Mike | 38.7% | 61.3% | 0.6% | 99.4% | 0.6% | SAFE R |
| MI-05 | (D) | Kildee, Dan | 64.3% | 35.7% | 99.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | SAFE D |
| AL-03 | (R) | Rogers, Mike | 38.7% | 61.3% | 0.6% | 99.4% | 0.6% | SAFE R |
| GA-11 | (R) | Loudermilk, Barry | 38.5% | 61.5% | 0.5% | 99.5% | 0.5% | SAFE R |
| FL-09 | (D) | Soto, Darren | 60.8% | 39.2% | 99.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | SAFE D |
| CA-23 | (R) | McCarthy, Kevin | 38.1% | 61.9% | 0.5% | 99.5% | 0.5% | SAFE R |
| AL-05 | (R) | Brooks, Mo | 38.3% | 61.7% | 0.5% | 99.5% | 0.5% | SAFE R |
| AL-01 | (R) | Byrne, Bradley | 38.9% | 61.1% | 0.5% | 99.5% | 0.5% | SAFE R |
| MA-09 | (D) | Keating, Bill | 63.7% | 36.3% | 99.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | SAFE D |
| WA-01 | (D) | DelBene, Suzan | 61.1% | 38.9% | 99.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | SAFE D |
| GA-08 | (R) | Scott, Austin | 38.9% | 61.1% | 0.4% | 99.6% | 0.4% | SAFE R |
| IL-18 | (R) | LaHood, Darin | 37.6% | 62.4% | 0.4% | 99.6% | 0.4% | SAFE R |
| WA-06 | (D) | Kilmer, Derek | 62.6% | 37.4% | 99.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | SAFE D |
| TX-05 | (R) | 39.3% | 60.7% | 0.4% | 99.6% | 0.4% | SAFE R | |
| DE-AL | (D) | Blunt Rochester, Lisa | 61.8% | 38.2% | 99.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | SAFE D |
| MD-01 | (R) | Harris, Andy | 38.0% | 62.0% | 0.4% | 99.6% | 0.4% | SAFE R |
| GA-02 | (D) | Bishop Jr., Sanford | 62.8% | 37.2% | 99.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | SAFE D |
| MO-06 | (R) | Graves, Sam | 38.3% | 61.7% | 0.4% | 99.7% | 0.4% | SAFE R |
| MO-03 | (R) | Luetkemeyer, Blaine | 36.9% | 63.1% | 0.3% | 99.7% | 0.3% | SAFE R |
| WA-10 | (D) | Heck, Denny | 61.7% | 38.3% | 99.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | SAFE D |
| CO-07 | (D) | Perlmutter, Ed | 61.4% | 38.6% | 99.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | SAFE D |
| AL-02 | (R) | Roby, Martha | 37.8% | 62.2% | 0.3% | 99.7% | 0.3% | SAFE R |
| MO-04 | (R) | Hartzler, Vicki | 37.9% | 62.1% | 0.3% | 99.8% | 0.3% | SAFE R |
| PA-04 | (D) | 0.0% | 61.7% | 38.3% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| CA-26 | (D) | Brownley, Julia | 62.8% | 37.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| CA-31 | (D) | Aguilar, Pete | 62.2% | 37.8% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| WV-01 | (R) | McKinley, David | 36.4% | 63.6% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| NY-25 | (D) | Slaughter, Louise | 61.9% | 38.1% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| TN-04 | (R) | DesJarlais, Scott | 36.0% | 64.0% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| TN-03 | (R) | Fleischmann, Chuck | 37.5% | 62.5% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| MA-03 | (D) | 63.2% | 36.8% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D | |
| FL-22 | (D) | Deutch, Ted | 62.3% | 37.7% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| OH-13 | (D) | Ryan, Tim | 67.0% | 33.0% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| TN-05 | (D) | Cooper, Jim | 64.2% | 35.8% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| CA-09 | (D) | McNerney, Jerry | 62.1% | 37.9% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| OK-01 | (R) | 38.5% | 61.5% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R | |
| TX-26 | (R) | Burgess, Michael | 37.4% | 62.6% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| LA-05 | (R) | Abraham, Ralph | 34.4% | 65.6% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| PA-12 | (R) | Marino, Tom | 37.2% | 62.8% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| NM-01 | (D) | 61.9% | 38.1% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D | |
| MA-06 | (D) | Moulton, Seth | 62.9% | 37.1% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| IL-03 | (D) | Lipinski, Dan | 65.6% | 34.4% | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | SAFE D |
| MS-01 | (R) | Kelly, Trent | 36.8% | 63.2% | 0.2% | 99.8% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| KY-04 | (R) | Massie, Thomas | 36.8% | 63.2% | 0.2% | 99.9% | 0.2% | SAFE R |
| TN-07 | (R) | 35.6% | 64.4% | 0.2% | 99.9% | 0.2% | SAFE R | |
| KY-03 | (D) | Yarmuth, John | 64.3% | 35.7% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| OH-08 | (R) | Davidson, Warren | 36.5% | 63.5% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| ME-01 | (D) | Pingree, Chellie | 63.3% | 36.7% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| TX-15 | (D) | Gonzalez, Vicente | 63.2% | 36.8% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| CT-04 | (D) | Himes, Jim | 63.9% | 36.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| VA-04 | (D) | McEachin, Donald | 63.4% | 36.6% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| VA-09 | (R) | Griffith, Morgan | 35.8% | 64.2% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| NY-20 | (D) | Tonko, Paul | 67.3% | 32.7% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| MO-05 | (D) | Cleaver, Emanuel | 64.0% | 36.0% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| FL-14 | (D) | Castor, Kathy | 64.2% | 35.8% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| WV-03 | (R) | 33.8% | 66.2% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R | |
| AR-04 | (R) | Westerman, Bruce | 34.9% | 65.1% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| PA-15 | (R) | Thompson, Glenn | 35.2% | 64.8% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| PA-13 | (R) | 0.0% | 33.8% | 66.2% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| FL-04 | (R) | Rutherford, John | 36.1% | 63.9% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| SC-03 | (R) | Duncan, Jeff | 35.3% | 64.7% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| NJ-06 | (D) | Pallone, Frank | 65.2% | 34.8% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| CA-16 | (D) | Costa, Jim | 63.2% | 36.8% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| KY-02 | (R) | Guthrie, Brett | 35.0% | 65.0% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| IL-08 | (D) | Krishnamoorthi, Raja | 64.1% | 35.9% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| IN-03 | (R) | Banks, Jim | 35.1% | 64.9% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| ID-01 | (R) | 35.0% | 65.0% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R | |
| IL-15 | (R) | Shimkus, John | 33.8% | 66.2% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| FL-02 | (R) | Dunn, Neal | 36.7% | 63.3% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| IN-01 | (D) | Visclosky, Pete | 65.0% | 35.0% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| FL-23 | (D) | Wasserman Schultz, Debbie | 64.6% | 35.4% | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | SAFE D |
| GA-03 | (R) | Ferguson, Drew | 37.0% | 63.0% | 0.1% | 99.9% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| TX-12 | (R) | Granger, Kay | 35.3% | 64.7% | 0.1% | 100.0% | 0.1% | SAFE R |
| NM-03 | (D) | Lujan, Ben | 65.1% | 34.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| KY-01 | (R) | Comer, James | 32.9% | 67.1% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| UT-01 | (R) | Bishop, Rob | 32.7% | 67.3% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| RI-01 | (D) | Cicilline, David | 66.7% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CO-02 | (D) | 63.7% | 36.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| MA-02 | (D) | McGovern, Jim | 65.2% | 34.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CT-03 | (D) | DeLauro, Rosa | 68.4% | 31.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-28 | (D) | Cuellar, Henry | 68.0% | 32.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MA-08 | (D) | Lynch, Stephen | 70.0% | 30.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| LA-03 | (R) | Higgins, Clay | 34.8% | 65.2% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| MS-04 | (R) | Palazzo, Steven | 34.0% | 66.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| MA-01 | (D) | Neal, Richard | 72.8% | 27.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-26 | (D) | Higgins, Brian | 72.4% | 27.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WY-AL | (R) | Cheney, Liz | 32.3% | 67.7% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| UT-03 | (R) | Curtis, John | 31.5% | 68.5% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TN-08 | (R) | Kustoff, David | 34.3% | 65.7% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| FL-01 | (R) | Gaetz, Matt | 34.3% | 65.7% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| MN-04 | (D) | McCollum, Betty | 67.8% | 32.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| FL-21 | (D) | Frankel, Lois | 66.4% | 33.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| OR-01 | (D) | Bonamici, Suzanne | 65.3% | 34.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| LA-06 | (R) | Graves, Garret | 31.6% | 68.4% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TN-02 | (R) | 35.8% | 64.2% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R | |
| MO-07 | (R) | Long, Billy | 33.1% | 66.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| KS-01 | (R) | Marshall, Roger | 31.8% | 68.2% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| MO-08 | (R) | Smith, Jason | 31.1% | 68.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| CA-47 | (D) | Lowenthal, Alan | 66.7% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CT-01 | (D) | Larson, John | 67.9% | 32.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-41 | (D) | Takano, Mark | 66.5% | 33.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-20 | (D) | Castro, Joaquin | 67.8% | 32.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-02 | (D) | Ruppersberger, Dutch | 68.1% | 31.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WA-02 | (D) | Larsen, Rick | 66.0% | 34.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| AR-03 | (R) | Womack, Steve | 32.2% | 67.8% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| OK-04 | (R) | Cole, Tom | 34.2% | 65.8% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| AZ-04 | (R) | Gosar, Paul | 34.1% | 65.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| OK-02 | (R) | Mullin, Markwayne | 31.5% | 68.5% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| LA-01 | (R) | Scalise, Steve | 30.5% | 69.5% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| AL-06 | (R) | Palmer, Gary | 29.9% | 70.1% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-01 | (R) | Gohmert, Louie | 30.7% | 69.3% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TN-06 | (R) | 31.7% | 68.3% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R | |
| TX-36 | (R) | Babin, Brian | 29.6% | 70.4% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-19 | (R) | Arrington, Jodey | 28.4% | 71.6% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| NE-03 | (R) | Smith, Adrian | 27.9% | 72.1% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| GA-14 | (R) | Graves, Tom | 27.5% | 72.5% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| OK-03 | (R) | Lucas, Frank | 27.9% | 72.1% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-04 | (R) | Ratcliffe, John | 27.4% | 72.6% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-08 | (R) | Brady, Kevin | 27.3% | 72.7% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TN-01 | (R) | Roe, Phil | 26.5% | 73.5% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| KY-05 | (R) | Rogers, Hal | 25.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| GA-09 | (R) | Collins, Doug | 24.1% | 75.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| AL-04 | (R) | Aderholt, Robert | 24.1% | 75.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-11 | (R) | Conaway, Michael | 23.6% | 76.4% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| TX-13 | (R) | Thornberry, Mac | 22.0% | 78.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | SAFE R |
| CA-12 | (D) | Pelosi, Nancy | 92.3% | 7.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-13 | (D) | Lee, Barbara | 94.8% | 5.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-34 | (D) | Gomez, Jimmy | 89.6% | 10.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-37 | (D) | Bass, Karen | 91.8% | 8.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-44 | (D) | Barragan, Nanette | 85.9% | 14.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| GA-05 | (D) | Lewis, John | 89.7% | 10.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-04 | (D) | 85.9% | 14.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| IL-07 | (D) | Davis, Danny | 93.0% | 7.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MA-07 | (D) | Capuano, Mike | 89.4% | 10.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MI-13 | (D) | 84.7% | 15.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| NJ-10 | (D) | Payne, Donald | 90.6% | 9.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-05 | (D) | Meeks, Gregory | 91.4% | 8.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-07 | (D) | Velazquez, Nydia | 92.1% | 7.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-08 | (D) | Jeffries, Hakeem | 90.6% | 9.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-09 | (D) | Clarke, Yvette | 88.9% | 11.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-13 | (D) | Espaillat, Adriano | 97.7% | 2.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-15 | (D) | Serrano, Jose | 98.6% | 1.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| PA-03 | (D) | Evans, Dwight | 95.8% | 4.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| FL-24 | (D) | Wilson, Frederica | 88.4% | 11.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-40 | (D) | Roybal-Allard, Lucille | 86.3% | 13.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WA-07 | (D) | Jayapal, Pramila | 84.7% | 15.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-12 | (D) | Maloney, Carolyn | 86.7% | 13.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| OH-11 | (D) | Fudge, Marcia | 86.5% | 13.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| FL-20 | (D) | Hastings, Alcee | 85.6% | 14.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-14 | (D) | 81.5% | 18.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| MI-14 | (D) | Lawrence, Brenda | 85.2% | 14.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-30 | (D) | Johnson, E.B. | 84.3% | 15.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-09 | (D) | Green, Al | 83.8% | 16.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-43 | (D) | Waters, Maxine | 83.6% | 16.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MN-05 | (D) | 79.6% | 20.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| CA-29 | (D) | Cardenas, Tony | 83.1% | 16.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TN-09 | (D) | Cohen, Steve | 82.9% | 17.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-02 | (D) | Kelly, Robin | 84.2% | 15.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-14 | (D) | Speier, Jackie | 82.3% | 17.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NJ-08 | (D) | Sires, Albio | 81.5% | 18.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MO-01 | (D) | Clay, Lacy | 83.9% | 16.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WI-04 | (D) | Moore, Gwen | 80.5% | 19.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| LA-02 | (D) | Richmond, Cedric | 80.2% | 19.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-16 | (D) | Engel, Eliot | 79.7% | 20.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-04 | (D) | Brown, Anthony | 82.5% | 17.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-17 | (D) | Khanna, Ro | 77.8% | 22.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-07 | (D) | Cummings, Elijah | 81.2% | 18.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-18 | (D) | Eshoo, Anna | 78.0% | 22.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-19 | (D) | Lofgren, Zoe | 78.3% | 21.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-28 | (D) | Schiff, Adam | 78.6% | 21.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-20 | (D) | Panetta, Jimmy | 77.5% | 22.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-02 | (D) | Huffman, Jared | 77.7% | 22.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-10 | (D) | Nadler, Jerrold | 81.7% | 18.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| PA-02 | (D) | Boyle, Brendan | 79.6% | 20.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-11 | (D) | DeSaulnier, Mark | 76.6% | 23.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-18 | (D) | Jackson-Lee, Sheila | 81.3% | 18.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-05 | (D) | Thompson, Mike | 77.2% | 22.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-01 | (D) | Rush, Bobby | 81.7% | 18.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-51 | (D) | Vargas, Juan | 76.5% | 23.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| GA-04 | (D) | Johnson, Hank | 79.5% | 20.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WA-09 | (D) | Smith, Adam | 76.3% | 23.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| OR-03 | (D) | Blumenauer, Earl | 79.6% | 20.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-06 | (D) | Matsui, Doris | 76.4% | 23.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| AL-07 | (D) | Sewell, Terri | 75.8% | 24.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-15 | (D) | Swalwell, Eric | 75.9% | 24.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| GA-13 | (D) | Scott, David | 75.3% | 24.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-29 | (D) | 72.2% | 27.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| MA-05 | (D) | Clark, Katherine | 74.4% | 25.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| HI-02 | (D) | Gabbard, Tulsi | 76.2% | 23.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| HI-01 | (D) | 71.1% | 28.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| TX-33 | (D) | Veasey, Marc | 77.4% | 22.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-30 | (D) | Sherman, Brad | 74.3% | 25.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-16 | (D) | 70.8% | 29.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D | |
| AZ-07 | (D) | Gallego, Ruben | 77.6% | 22.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-35 | (D) | Torres, Norma | 74.0% | 26.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| SC-06 | (D) | Clyburn, Jim | 74.8% | 25.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CO-01 | (D) | DeGette, Diana | 76.5% | 23.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-38 | (D) | Sanchez, Linda | 72.1% | 27.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-32 | (D) | Napolitano, Grace | 70.8% | 29.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| OH-03 | (D) | Beatty, Joyce | 73.0% | 27.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-33 | (D) | Lieu, Ted | 71.7% | 28.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| WI-02 | (D) | Pocan, Mark | 72.8% | 27.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| VA-11 | (D) | Connolly, Gerry | 72.3% | 27.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| VT-AL | (D) | Welch, Peter | 72.8% | 27.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-05 | (D) | Quigley, Mike | 75.5% | 24.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NC-01 | (D) | Butterfield, G.K. | 73.0% | 27.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-27 | (D) | Chu, Judy | 70.5% | 29.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| VA-03 | (D) | Scott, Bobby | 70.7% | 29.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-46 | (D) | Correa, Lou | 70.6% | 29.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| CA-53 | (D) | Davis, Susan | 69.1% | 30.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NC-12 | (D) | Adams, Alma | 73.1% | 26.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NJ-09 | (D) | Pascrell, Bill | 72.9% | 27.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| VA-08 | (D) | Beyer, Don | 76.6% | 23.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-05 | (D) | Hoyer, Steny | 71.8% | 28.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NJ-12 | (D) | Watson Coleman, Bonnie | 70.3% | 29.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MI-12 | (D) | Dingell, Debbie | 70.8% | 29.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| AZ-03 | (D) | Grijalva, Raul | 70.0% | 30.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| OH-09 | (D) | Kaptur, Marcy | 71.6% | 28.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-06 | (D) | Meng, Grace | 72.2% | 27.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NC-04 | (D) | Price, David | 72.4% | 27.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NV-01 | (D) | Titus, Dina | 70.4% | 29.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| PA-18 | (D) | Doyle, Mike | 69.1% | 30.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-35 | (D) | Doggett, Lloyd | 69.8% | 30.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MS-02 | (D) | Thompson, Bennie | 70.3% | 29.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IN-07 | (D) | Carson, Andre | 66.9% | 33.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NJ-01 | (D) | Norcross, Donald | 67.3% | 32.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-09 | (D) | Schakowsky, Jan | 73.7% | 26.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| FL-05 | (D) | Lawson, Al | 67.6% | 32.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-03 | (D) | Sarbanes, John | 68.3% | 31.7% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MD-08 | (D) | Raskin, Jamie | 68.2% | 31.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| FL-10 | (D) | Demings, Val | 67.2% | 32.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| TX-34 | (D) | Vela, Filemon | 65.8% | 34.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| NY-17 | (D) | Lowey, Nita | 65.4% | 34.6% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| IL-11 | (D) | Foster, Bill | 64.9% | 35.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |
| MA-04 | (D) | Kennedy, Joe | 68.2% | 31.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | SAFE D |